<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><xml><records><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">García-López, Javier M.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Allué, Carmen</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">A phytoclimatic-based indicator for assessing the inherent responsitivity of the European forests to climate change</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Ecological Indicators</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">climate change</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">European forests</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Plasticity</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">resilience</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">vulnerability</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2012</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2012///</style></date></pub-dates></dates><urls><web-urls><url><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S1470160X11003451</style></url></web-urls></urls><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">18</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">73 - 81</style></pages><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">We assess the potential inherent responsitivity of the European forests to climate change, as a measure of the degree to which a forest ecosystem is responsive to a climatic stimulus, through an indicator that combines the concepts of resilience and plasticity without involving exposure. The derivatives of two phytoclimatic functions of resilience and plasticity adjusted for 12 climatic variables and 25 European forest types allow evaluating the responsitivity amount and sign of these forest types to likely situations of increased temperature and decreased precipitation. The results show a clear contrast between central and northern European countries. The highest values of positive responsitivity are found in the Scandinavian countries, as well as in the high mountain ranges, while the most negative values are found in the areas of southern Europe located around the Mediterranean Sea. Thus, climate change will tend to have the highest potential beneﬁcial effects on the boreal forests and the most adverse on the Mediterranean ones (particularly on Thermo-Mediterranean forests). A total of 17% of forest lands covered by this study have negative responsitivity to climate change, being the mean value of the indicator negative for Italy, Spain, Greece, Malta and Portugal. Finland and Sweden are the countries with the greatest favorable potentialities facing climate change. Our results suggest that the inherent responsitivity of Mediterranean forests is mainly driven by the summer drought while in boreal forests the key factors are the low temperatures and the short growing season.</style></abstract></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">García-López, Javier M.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Allué, Carmen</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Modelling phytoclimatic versatility as a large scale indicator of adaptive capacity to climate change in forest ecosystems</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Ecological Modelling</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Adaptive capacity</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">climate change</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">resilience</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">suitability</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Tree species diversity</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Versatility</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">vulnerability</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2011</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2011///</style></date></pub-dates></dates><urls><web-urls><url><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0304380011000585</style></url></web-urls></urls><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">222</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">1436 - 1447</style></pages><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">CLIMPAIR is a new phytoclimatic model, correlative and niche-based, which simultaneously assesses non-linear, non-statistical and dual measurements of proximity/potentiality of a site with respect to a number of climatic ranges of species, deﬁned by convex hulls, within a suitability space. This set of phytoclimatic distances makes it possible to evaluate the degree to which each species is suitable for that site. Considering not only the number of species compatible (expected species richness), but also all those compatible covers presenting a high level of suitability evenness and ﬁnally applying an indicator derived from Shannon’s classic entropy index to the set of standardized phytoclimatic coordinates in the suitability hyperspace, we can evaluate the phytoclimatic entropy which may be considered as a means of estimating the phytoclimatic versatility of the site. A site with high phytoclimatic entropy would promise versatile future behaviour, characterized by a wide range of possibilities of adaptation to climate change, and hence versatility can be used as an index of resilience and ability of a forest ecosystem to adapt to climate change. The model has been applied to peninsular Spain for 18 forest tree species and 12 climatic variables between the current mean climate (period 1951–1999) and a future climatic scenario (period 2040–2069). The results generally point to a signiﬁcant decrease in the versatility of forest tree formations in the area studied, which is not homogeneous owing to a dual altitudinal/latitudinal decoupling. The decrease in versatility is greater in Mediterranean biogeographical areas than in Euro-Siberian ones, where in some cases it actually increases. In altitudinal terms, areas at elevations of less than 1500 m tend to become less versatile than areas situated at higher elevations, where versatility increases partly as a result of enrichment of alpine conifer forests with broadleaf species.</style></abstract><issue><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">8</style></issue></record></records></xml>